2007 Real Estate 2008 – Part 4

The Ups and Downs of Real Estate

Supply_demandWhen it comes to housing affordability, supply and demand and interest rates have to be factored in.

The Law of Supply and Demand Has Not Been Repealed

  • As affordability drops, the number of qualified buyers declines
  • The decline in buyers means a reduction in demand
  • With the reduction in demand, the supply of homes for sale (inventory) will increase
  • As the inventory grows and prices drop, buyers become more reluctant to buy

Household incomes and median home prices move in parallel

  • Since 1981, household incomes have increased at an average annual rate of 3.6%
  • During the same time period, median home prices have increased at 4.8% per year

Home prices have outpaced household income by an average of 30% a year nationally!

Mortgage Rates: Low and Stable

  • Interest rates are near the lowest point they have ever been since 1970
  • During the past 10 years the rates have been at or under 8%
  • For the past 5 years they have stayed at or near 6% and show no signs of rising
2007 Real Estate 2008

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